The polls are too close. There is probably, with an apology to all Conservatives, a strong shy-Tory effect. The FBI “exoneration” of Hillary is probably nonsense and favours Trump.
I would rather it was Hillary. If Hillary won it would have the benefit of left-wing policies, and their consequences, being blamed on an establishment left-wing candidate. Another Trump would not occur next time and we’d have a better outcome in the end. The Alt-Right and the Tea-Party tendency would be around to mitigate Hillary* so the medium term will be not as bad as one fears.
Gary won’t do so well.
So Hillary is the least worst candidate of the two, I would have voted for Gary Johnson, but Trump will win.
If he loses he will be significantly stronger on vote share than in the electoral college and people will be pissed about that.
But what the hell do I know?
* one also assumed the mainstream would be around to mitigate dodgy Brexiteers but May seems intent on pandering to them. Let’s hope Hillary does not pander to the Alt-Right.
LATER playing about with some stats I got to a result 299 vs 239 electoral college votes.